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| Why XERA challenges anyone to find a more accurate way to
evaluate baseball players: |
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Note
the close proximity of the XERA calculations to actual data. |
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Compare XERA to any other
algorithm for accuracy. |
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XERA uses the same formulas each year. |
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| In
the worst-case scenario, in 96 league-seasons, XERA was 96% accurate! The
pitcher's formulas are comparable. |
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| Results
of XERA pitching formula
comparisons start below the American League hitting figures (way down there!). |
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| The
XERA formulas remain the same each year - nothing is modified to accommodate
years of extremely good hitting |
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| or
pitching. |
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| The
black figures (below) represent actual data. The blue figures are XERA calculations. |
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Copyright ©
2008, Dwight R. Gill |
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These figures are calculated |
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|
| National
League |
|
Hitter's stats |
|
Actual |
|
|
|
|
Pitcher's |
|
|
| Year |
AB |
H |
2B |
3B |
HR |
BB |
SO |
SB |
CS |
HBP |
IP |
XER |
XERA |
ERA |
|
H/9 IP |
2B/9 IP |
3B/9 IP |
HR/9 IP |
BB/9 IP |
SO/9 IP |
SB/9 IP |
CS/9 IP |
|
| 1960 |
42176 |
10745 |
1722 |
384 |
1042 |
3937 |
6824 |
501 |
313 |
220 |
11103.0 |
4725 |
3.83 |
3.76 |
0.07 |
8.71 |
1.40 |
0.31 |
0.84 |
3.19 |
5.53 |
0.41 |
0.25 |
|
|
|
| 1961 |
42128 |
11029 |
1749 |
350 |
1196 |
3995 |
6622 |
468 |
288 |
254 |
10982.7 |
5028 |
4.12 |
4.03 |
0.09 |
9.04 |
1.43 |
0.29 |
0.98 |
3.27 |
5.43 |
0.38 |
0.24 |
|
|
|
| 1962 |
55449 |
14453 |
2075 |
453 |
1449 |
5265 |
9032 |
788 |
409 |
373 |
14488.7 |
6300 |
3.91 |
3.94 |
0.03 |
8.98 |
1.29 |
0.28 |
0.90 |
3.27 |
5.61 |
0.49 |
0.25 |
|
|
|
| 1963 |
54803 |
13434 |
1984 |
439 |
1215 |
4560 |
9545 |
684 |
493 |
372 |
14636.7 |
5472 |
3.37 |
3.29 |
0.08 |
8.26 |
1.22 |
0.27 |
0.75 |
2.80 |
5.87 |
0.42 |
0.30 |
|
|
|
| 1964 |
55284 |
14032 |
2161 |
427 |
1211 |
4394 |
9256 |
636 |
419 |
327 |
14574.7 |
5689 |
3.51 |
3.54 |
0.03 |
8.66 |
1.33 |
0.26 |
0.75 |
2.71 |
5.72 |
0.39 |
0.26 |
|
|
|
| 1965 |
55377 |
13794 |
2122 |
422 |
1318 |
4730 |
9649 |
745 |
429 |
404 |
14689.0 |
5812 |
3.56 |
3.54 |
0.02 |
8.45 |
1.30 |
0.26 |
0.81 |
2.90 |
5.91 |
0.46 |
0.26 |
|
|
|
| 1966 |
55385 |
14202 |
2099 |
412 |
1378 |
4404 |
9312 |
737 |
494 |
363 |
14584.3 |
5902 |
3.64 |
3.61 |
0.03 |
8.76 |
1.30 |
0.25 |
0.85 |
2.72 |
5.75 |
0.45 |
0.30 |
|
|
|
| 1967 |
55026 |
13698 |
2133 |
427 |
1102 |
4672 |
9468 |
694 |
470 |
354 |
14617.0 |
5482 |
3.38 |
3.38 |
0.00 |
8.43 |
1.31 |
0.26 |
0.68 |
2.88 |
5.83 |
0.43 |
0.29 |
|
|
|
| 1968 |
54913 |
13351 |
1995 |
359 |
891 |
4275 |
9502 |
704 |
460 |
352 |
14688.0 |
4932 |
3.02 |
2.98 |
0.04 |
8.18 |
1.22 |
0.22 |
0.55 |
2.62 |
5.82 |
0.43 |
0.28 |
|
|
|
| 1969 |
65751 |
16461 |
2455 |
471 |
1470 |
6397 |
11628 |
817 |
548 |
443 |
17429.7 |
6821 |
3.52 |
3.60 |
0.08 |
8.50 |
1.27 |
0.24 |
0.76 |
3.30 |
6.00 |
0.42 |
0.28 |
|
|
|
| 1970 |
66465 |
17151 |
2743 |
554 |
1683 |
6919 |
11417 |
1045 |
516 |
393 |
17435.0 |
7636 |
3.94 |
4.05 |
0.11 |
8.85 |
1.42 |
0.29 |
0.87 |
3.57 |
5.89 |
0.54 |
0.27 |
|
|
|
| 1971 |
65903 |
16590 |
2505 |
457 |
1379 |
6059 |
10542 |
900 |
492 |
395 |
17416.3 |
6836 |
3.53 |
3.47 |
0.06 |
8.57 |
1.29 |
0.24 |
0.71 |
3.13 |
5.45 |
0.47 |
0.25 |
|
|
|
| 1972 |
63116 |
15683 |
2392 |
430 |
1359 |
5985 |
10544 |
954 |
566 |
358 |
16786.7 |
6510 |
3.49 |
3.46 |
0.03 |
8.41 |
1.28 |
0.23 |
0.73 |
3.21 |
5.65 |
0.51 |
0.30 |
|
|
|
| 1973 |
66087 |
16817 |
2600 |
386 |
1550 |
6453 |
10507 |
976 |
552 |
358 |
17429.7 |
7184 |
3.71 |
3.67 |
0.04 |
8.68 |
1.34 |
0.20 |
0.80 |
3.33 |
5.43 |
0.50 |
0.29 |
|
|
|
| 1974 |
66212 |
16907 |
2642 |
447 |
1280 |
6828 |
9971 |
1254 |
625 |
360 |
17473.3 |
7060 |
3.64 |
3.63 |
0.01 |
8.71 |
1.36 |
0.23 |
0.66 |
3.52 |
5.14 |
0.65 |
0.32 |
|
|
|
| 1975 |
66102 |
17002 |
2781 |
458 |
1233 |
6730 |
9793 |
1176 |
558 |
367 |
17376.3 |
7111 |
3.68 |
3.63 |
0.05 |
8.81 |
1.44 |
0.24 |
0.64 |
3.49 |
5.07 |
0.61 |
0.29 |
|
|
|
| 1976 |
65814 |
16778 |
2652 |
499 |
1113 |
6263 |
9602 |
1364 |
677 |
310 |
17400.3 |
6779 |
3.51 |
3.50 |
0.01 |
8.68 |
1.37 |
0.26 |
0.58 |
3.24 |
4.97 |
0.71 |
0.35 |
|
|
|
| 1977 |
66700 |
17465 |
3033 |
526 |
1631 |
6487 |
10488 |
1555 |
843 |
330 |
17547.7 |
7770 |
3.99 |
3.91 |
0.08 |
8.96 |
1.56 |
0.27 |
0.84 |
3.33 |
5.38 |
0.80 |
0.43 |
|
|
|
| 1978 |
65156 |
16556 |
2861 |
482 |
1276 |
6279 |
9905 |
1533 |
725 |
330 |
17267.0 |
7050 |
3.67 |
3.58 |
0.09 |
8.63 |
1.49 |
0.25 |
0.67 |
3.27 |
5.16 |
0.80 |
0.38 |
|
|
|
| 1979 |
66088 |
17229 |
2886 |
518 |
1427 |
6188 |
9920 |
1486 |
767 |
332 |
17383.3 |
7384 |
3.82 |
3.74 |
0.08 |
8.92 |
1.49 |
0.27 |
0.74 |
3.20 |
5.14 |
0.77 |
0.40 |
|
|
|
| 1980 |
66272 |
17186 |
2856 |
523 |
1243 |
5969 |
9849 |
1839 |
835 |
257 |
17489.0 |
7113 |
3.66 |
3.61 |
0.05 |
8.84 |
1.47 |
0.27 |
0.64 |
3.07 |
5.07 |
0.95 |
0.43 |
|
|
|
| 1981 |
43654 |
11141 |
1881 |
354 |
719 |
4107 |
6332 |
1108 |
543 |
185 |
11576.3 |
4554 |
3.54 |
3.49 |
0.05 |
8.66 |
1.46 |
0.28 |
0.56 |
3.19 |
4.92 |
0.86 |
0.42 |
|
|
|
| 1982 |
66263 |
17085 |
2823 |
445 |
1299 |
5964 |
10300 |
1782 |
822 |
305 |
17513.7 |
7048 |
3.62 |
3.61 |
0.01 |
8.78 |
1.45 |
0.23 |
0.67 |
3.06 |
5.29 |
0.92 |
0.42 |
|
|
|
| 1983 |
65717 |
16781 |
2753 |
484 |
1398 |
6424 |
10749 |
1786 |
870 |
292 |
17446.0 |
7122 |
3.67 |
3.64 |
0.03 |
8.66 |
1.42 |
0.25 |
0.72 |
3.31 |
5.55 |
0.92 |
0.45 |
|
|
|
| 1984 |
65919 |
16842 |
2770 |
451 |
1278 |
6149 |
10929 |
1728 |
773 |
249 |
17455.0 |
6903 |
3.56 |
3.59 |
0.03 |
8.68 |
1.43 |
0.23 |
0.66 |
3.17 |
5.64 |
0.89 |
0.40 |
|
|
|
| 1985 |
65818 |
16596 |
2861 |
437 |
1424 |
6373 |
10674 |
1636 |
716 |
280 |
17477.7 |
7173 |
3.69 |
3.60 |
0.09 |
8.55 |
1.47 |
0.23 |
0.73 |
3.28 |
5.50 |
0.84 |
0.37 |
|
|
|
| 1986 |
65730 |
16643 |
2991 |
387 |
1523 |
6560 |
11648 |
1842 |
858 |
312 |
17490.7 |
7272 |
3.74 |
3.73 |
0.01 |
8.56 |
1.54 |
0.20 |
0.78 |
3.38 |
5.99 |
0.95 |
0.44 |
|
|
|
| 1987 |
66276 |
17275 |
3126 |
435 |
1824 |
6577 |
11657 |
1851 |
757 |
349 |
17429.0 |
7965 |
4.11 |
4.09 |
0.02 |
8.92 |
1.61 |
0.22 |
0.94 |
3.40 |
6.02 |
0.96 |
0.39 |
|
|
|
| 1988 |
65563 |
16277 |
2828 |
415 |
1279 |
5793 |
11032 |
1789 |
729 |
368 |
17500.3 |
6773 |
3.48 |
3.45 |
0.03 |
8.37 |
1.45 |
0.21 |
0.66 |
2.98 |
5.67 |
0.92 |
0.37 |
|
|
|
| 1989 |
65817 |
16215 |
2903 |
411 |
1365 |
6251 |
11354 |
1529 |
715 |
318 |
17602.3 |
6905 |
3.53 |
3.50 |
0.03 |
8.29 |
1.48 |
0.21 |
0.70 |
3.20 |
5.81 |
0.78 |
0.37 |
|
|
|
| 1990 |
65968 |
16917 |
2967 |
405 |
1521 |
6221 |
11164 |
1787 |
727 |
352 |
17428.3 |
7363 |
3.80 |
3.80 |
0.00 |
8.74 |
1.53 |
0.21 |
0.79 |
3.21 |
5.77 |
0.92 |
0.38 |
|
|
|
| 1991 |
65364 |
16363 |
2819 |
441 |
1430 |
6254 |
11446 |
1651 |
809 |
367 |
17436.7 |
6986 |
3.61 |
3.69 |
0.08 |
8.45 |
1.46 |
0.23 |
0.74 |
3.23 |
5.91 |
0.85 |
0.42 |
|
|
|
| 1992 |
65748 |
16538 |
2967 |
459 |
1262 |
5978 |
11342 |
1560 |
741 |
395 |
17483.0 |
6857 |
3.53 |
3.51 |
0.02 |
8.51 |
1.53 |
0.24 |
0.65 |
3.08 |
5.84 |
0.80 |
0.38 |
|
|
|
| 1993 |
77489 |
20427 |
3588 |
513 |
1956 |
7104 |
13358 |
1714 |
788 |
567 |
20262.0 |
8978 |
3.99 |
4.05 |
0.06 |
9.07 |
1.59 |
0.23 |
0.87 |
3.16 |
5.93 |
0.76 |
0.35 |
|
|
|
| 1994 |
55068 |
14695 |
2784 |
377 |
1532 |
5193 |
10147 |
1141 |
529 |
451 |
14327.7 |
6701 |
4.21 |
4.22 |
0.01 |
9.23 |
1.75 |
0.24 |
0.96 |
3.26 |
6.37 |
0.72 |
0.33 |
|
|
|
| 1995 |
69049 |
18184 |
3367 |
418 |
1917 |
6668 |
13309 |
1602 |
671 |
624 |
18048.0 |
8249 |
4.11 |
4.18 |
0.07 |
9.07 |
1.68 |
0.21 |
0.96 |
3.33 |
6.64 |
0.80 |
0.33 |
|
|
|
| 1996 |
77711 |
20398 |
3782 |
434 |
2220 |
7501 |
15252 |
1785 |
709 |
683 |
20315.3 |
9305 |
4.12 |
4.22 |
0.10 |
9.04 |
1.68 |
0.19 |
0.98 |
3.32 |
6.76 |
0.79 |
0.31 |
|
|
|
| 1997 |
77203 |
20300 |
3907 |
485 |
2163 |
7704 |
15320 |
1817 |
841 |
773 |
20227.3 |
9313 |
4.14 |
4.21 |
0.07 |
9.03 |
1.74 |
0.22 |
0.96 |
3.43 |
6.82 |
0.81 |
0.37 |
|
|
|
| 1998 |
88700 |
23213 |
4493 |
491 |
2565 |
8710 |
17455 |
1609 |
751 |
824 |
23186.7 |
10705 |
4.16 |
4.24 |
0.08 |
9.01 |
1.74 |
0.19 |
1.00 |
3.38 |
6.78 |
0.62 |
0.29 |
|
|
|
| 1999 |
89077 |
23892 |
4623 |
512 |
2895 |
9612 |
17167 |
1959 |
830 |
799 |
23125.7 |
11618 |
4.52 |
4.57 |
0.05 |
9.30 |
1.80 |
0.20 |
1.13 |
3.74 |
6.68 |
0.76 |
0.32 |
|
|
|
| 2000 |
88743 |
23594 |
4633 |
532 |
3005 |
9735 |
17344 |
1626 |
736 |
898 |
23070.0 |
11713 |
4.57 |
4.64 |
0.07 |
9.20 |
1.81 |
0.21 |
1.17 |
3.80 |
6.77 |
0.63 |
0.29 |
|
|
|
| 2001 |
88100 |
23027 |
4613 |
488 |
2952 |
8567 |
17908 |
1456 |
735 |
969 |
23034.7 |
11182 |
4.37 |
4.36 |
0.01 |
9.00 |
1.80 |
0.19 |
1.15 |
3.35 |
7.00 |
0.57 |
0.29 |
|
|
|
| 2002 |
87794 |
22753 |
4482 |
488 |
2595 |
8921 |
17161 |
1514 |
703 |
895 |
23006.3 |
10731 |
4.20 |
4.11 |
0.09 |
8.90 |
1.75 |
0.19 |
1.02 |
3.49 |
6.71 |
0.59 |
0.28 |
|
|
|
| 2003 |
88426 |
23126 |
4657 |
491 |
2708 |
8666 |
16996 |
1294 |
585 |
967 |
23052.3 |
11043 |
4.31 |
4.29 |
0.02 |
9.03 |
1.82 |
0.19 |
1.06 |
3.38 |
6.64 |
0.51 |
0.23 |
|
|
|
| 2004 |
88622 |
23271 |
4687 |
494 |
2846 |
8736 |
17299 |
1336 |
527 |
944 |
23048.0 |
11283 |
4.41 |
4.31 |
0.10 |
9.09 |
1.83 |
0.19 |
1.11 |
3.41 |
6.76 |
0.52 |
0.21 |
|
|
|
| 2005 |
88120 |
23058 |
4754 |
468 |
2580 |
8396 |
16880 |
1349 |
560 |
980 |
22959.0 |
10879 |
4.26 |
4.23 |
0.03 |
9.04 |
1.86 |
0.18 |
1.01 |
3.29 |
6.62 |
0.53 |
0.22 |
|
|
| 2006 |
88844 |
23501 |
4834 |
561 |
2840 |
8600 |
17426 |
1515 |
610 |
1030 |
23083.0 |
11427 |
4.46 |
4.49 |
0.03 |
9.16 |
1.88 |
0.22 |
1.11 |
3.35 |
6.79 |
0.59 |
0.24 |
|
|
| 2007 |
89483 |
23795 |
4898 |
504 |
2705 |
8575 |
17449 |
1563 |
505 |
934 |
23600.7 |
11427 |
4.32 |
4.44 |
0.03 |
9.07 |
1.87 |
0.19 |
1.03 |
3.27 |
6.65 |
0.60 |
0.19 |
|
|
| |
3180990 |
818675 |
143339 |
21300 |
78542 |
303553 |
555025 |
62622 |
30114 |
22428 |
850842.0 |
360647 |
3.81 |
3.87 |
0.01 |
8.66 |
1.52 |
0.23 |
0.83 |
3.21 |
5.87 |
0.66 |
0.32 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| American
League |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Actual |
ABS |
|
|
| Year |
AB |
H |
2B |
3B |
HR |
BB |
SO |
SB |
CS |
HBP |
IP |
XER |
XERA |
ERA |
Diff. |
H/9 IP |
2B/9 IP |
3B/9 IP |
HR/9 IP |
BB/9 IP |
SO/9 IP |
SB/9 IP |
CS/9 IP |
|
| 1960 |
41838 |
10689 |
1720 |
274 |
1086 |
4447 |
5991 |
422 |
234 |
268 |
10972.3 |
4915 |
4.03 |
3.87 |
0.16 |
8.77 |
1.41 |
0.22 |
0.89 |
3.65 |
4.91 |
0.35 |
0.19 |
|
|
|
| 1961 |
54904 |
14037 |
2226 |
404 |
1534 |
5902 |
8325 |
578 |
311 |
319 |
14397.7 |
6568 |
4.11 |
4.02 |
0.09 |
8.77 |
1.39 |
0.25 |
0.96 |
3.69 |
5.20 |
0.36 |
0.19 |
|
|
|
| 1962 |
55239 |
14068 |
2238 |
400 |
1552 |
5671 |
8536 |
560 |
292 |
336 |
14494.7 |
6542 |
4.06 |
3.97 |
0.09 |
8.74 |
1.39 |
0.25 |
0.96 |
3.52 |
5.30 |
0.35 |
0.18 |
|
|
|
| 1963 |
55011 |
13609 |
2114 |
352 |
1489 |
5031 |
9228 |
552 |
270 |
342 |
14558.3 |
6072 |
3.75 |
3.63 |
0.12 |
8.41 |
1.31 |
0.22 |
0.92 |
3.11 |
5.70 |
0.34 |
0.17 |
|
|
|
| 1964 |
55180 |
13637 |
2109 |
333 |
1551 |
5227 |
9956 |
540 |
300 |
367 |
14619.7 |
6089 |
3.75 |
3.63 |
0.12 |
8.40 |
1.30 |
0.20 |
0.95 |
3.22 |
6.13 |
0.33 |
0.18 |
|
|
|
| 1965 |
54362 |
13158 |
2077 |
365 |
1370 |
5306 |
9634 |
704 |
357 |
316 |
14519.3 |
5805 |
3.60 |
3.46 |
0.14 |
8.16 |
1.29 |
0.23 |
0.85 |
3.29 |
5.97 |
0.44 |
0.22 |
|
|
|
| 1966 |
54082 |
13005 |
2021 |
408 |
1365 |
4927 |
9492 |
718 |
432 |
319 |
14504.3 |
5686 |
3.53 |
3.44 |
0.09 |
8.07 |
1.25 |
0.25 |
0.85 |
3.06 |
5.89 |
0.45 |
0.27 |
|
|
|
| 1967 |
54179 |
12766 |
1949 |
365 |
1197 |
4993 |
9945 |
679 |
469 |
397 |
14631.7 |
5292 |
3.26 |
3.23 |
0.03 |
7.85 |
1.20 |
0.22 |
0.74 |
3.07 |
6.12 |
0.42 |
0.29 |
|
|
|
| 1968 |
53709 |
12359 |
1874 |
338 |
1104 |
4881 |
9641 |
811 |
471 |
426 |
14604.7 |
5072 |
3.13 |
2.98 |
0.15 |
7.62 |
1.15 |
0.21 |
0.68 |
3.01 |
5.94 |
0.50 |
0.29 |
|
|
|
| 1969 |
65536 |
16120 |
2385 |
378 |
1649 |
7032 |
10845 |
1033 |
570 |
441 |
17477.0 |
7145 |
3.68 |
3.63 |
0.05 |
8.30 |
1.23 |
0.19 |
0.85 |
3.62 |
5.58 |
0.53 |
0.29 |
|
|
|
| 1970 |
65675 |
16404 |
2492 |
373 |
1746 |
6808 |
10957 |
863 |
562 |
432 |
17428.0 |
7301 |
3.77 |
3.72 |
0.05 |
8.47 |
1.29 |
0.19 |
0.90 |
3.52 |
5.66 |
0.45 |
0.29 |
|
|
|
| 1971 |
64641 |
15957 |
2426 |
351 |
1484 |
6477 |
10414 |
865 |
547 |
426 |
17213.0 |
6810 |
3.56 |
3.47 |
0.09 |
8.34 |
1.27 |
0.18 |
0.78 |
3.39 |
5.45 |
0.45 |
0.29 |
|
|
|
| 1972 |
61712 |
14751 |
2260 |